0x7d66a34c687f0643323374f7c42800ebf793ba3e
0x7d66a34c687f0643323374f7c42800ebf793ba3e
- Realised P&L
- $-412.86
- Volume
- $15.6k
- Markets traded
- 100
- Open portfolio
- $40.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded100
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.085 | $21.25 | +$1.25 |
| Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.125 | $19.23 | −$0.77 |
| Boise State vs. Fresno State · Fresno State | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET · Down | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET · Down | 0.507 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes | 0.105 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Spread: Boise State (-8.5) · Boise State | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.25 |
| Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$222.91at 0.198Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on September 21?
- +$80.93at 0.401Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 2?
- +$67.89at 0.443Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?
- +$58.19at 0.273Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?
- +$42.75at 0.337Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 August 31-September 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 05:04 | Boise State vs. Fresno State | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $20.00 |
| 10-11 02:31 | Spread: Boise State (-8.5) | BUY | 0.65 | $29.25 |
| 10-05 17:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.709999998 | $50.00 |
| 10-04 02:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5067164762 | $20.00 |
| 10-02 21:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | BUY | 0.562690648 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 21:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 10-02 08:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.4399999986 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 08:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.1049999997 | $20.00 |
| 10-02 08:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.3699999976 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 08:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 04:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.0195074372 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 04:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.1074103271 | $20.00 |
| 09-27 23:58 | Rams vs. Broncos: 1H Moneyline | BUY | 0.5099999906 | $20.00 |
| 09-27 23:57 | Will the announcers say "What a Catch" during the Rams vs Broncos game? | BUY | 0.1873170732 | $7.68 |
| 09-27 23:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.32 | $20.00 |