Leafy-Infancy
0x7d63e37e3c25d5cd136b28ff2534ac2cb9e69571
- Realised P&L
- $-49.93
- Volume
- $7.5k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $113.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.206 | 0.310 | $37.52 | +$12.52 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.135 | $28.93 | −$1.07 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.520 | $26.00 | +$16.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.265 | $21.20 | +$1.20 |
| Will Texas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.60 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 13? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 13? · Yes | 0.343 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 1? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-33.33at 0.030Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 18:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999922 | $15.00 |
| 08-30 18:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 08-30 18:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999922 | $15.00 |
| 08-20 23:03 | Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 08-20 22:25 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2065373502 | $25.00 |
| 03-26 01:43 | Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.0589999894 | $5.00 |
| 03-19 03:59 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0299999857 | $2.00 |
| 03-13 14:19 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 13? | BUY | 0.3389999453 | $2.92 |
| 03-13 14:19 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 13? | BUY | 0.0219999787 | $1.00 |
| 03-01 04:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 1? | BUY | 0.0673333929 | $5.00 |