0xb0b024e7D8d70B451b9234E5f444836F768DC008-1764711218843
0x7d6001fdd57ff5a8c95c0cf77d16fefae05940ad
- Realised P&L
- $-45.32
- Volume
- $456.99
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $23.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New Jersey use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No | 0.969 | 0.970 | $16.49 | +$0.00 |
| Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No | 0.410 | 0.360 | $2.88 | −$0.40 |
| Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.215 | $2.69 | +$0.44 |
| Will Mina the Hollower win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.320 | $1.32 | −$0.08 |
| Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.05 |
| Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? · Yes | 0.915 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.54 |
| Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Hanna? · Yes | 0.237 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.54at 0.661Will Jynxzi reach Unreal rank in Fortnite by October 18, 2026?
- +$1.62at 0.861Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?
- +$1.47at 0.926Will “The Daily Show” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?
- +$1.18at 0.822Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 23?
- +$0.30at 0.981Will Ronaldo post about Messi by October 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 18:12 | Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $10.15 |
| 10-28 14:56 | Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | BUY | 0.2216748758 | $15.00 |
| 10-22 15:16 | Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 23? | SELL | 0.86 | $26.75 |
| 10-21 21:42 | Will Jynxzi beat the Elden Ring DLC by October 23? | BUY | 0.8221444363 | $25.57 |
| 10-20 18:44 | Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.41 | $3.28 |
| 10-19 14:34 | Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | BUY | 0.18 | $2.25 |
| 10-18 04:22 | Will Jynxzi reach Unreal rank in Fortnite by October 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999984 | $20.23 |
| 10-15 01:43 | Will New Jersey use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9692593872 | $16.49 |
| 10-09 21:38 | Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $1.07 |
| 10-09 21:37 | Will Lionel Messi play at the 2028 Copa America? | SELL | 0.918 | $16.20 |
| 10-09 00:34 | Will Lionel Messi play at the 2028 Copa America? | BUY | 0.9079999959 | $16.03 |
| 10-07 21:24 | Will Ronaldo post about Messi by October 7? | BUY | 0.98 | $15.70 |
| 09-27 03:47 | Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Hanna? | BUY | 0.2369999939 | $3.94 |
| 09-21 23:02 | Will Deadlock win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards? | SELL | 0.105 | $0.30 |
| 09-21 22:58 | Will Deadlock win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.122 | $0.35 |