0xb0b024e7D8d70B451b9234E5f444836F768DC008-1764711218843
0x7d6001fdd57ff5a8c95c0cf77d16fefae05940ad
- Realised P&L
- $-3.32
- Volume
- $109.95
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $57.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? · Yes | 0.915 | 0.822 | $44.52 | −$5.02 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.856 | 0.853 | $9.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.500 | $1.53 | −$0.15 |
| Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.069 | $1.44 | +$0.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.47at 0.926Will “The Daily Show” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 12:30 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.8559999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 12:01 | Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999018 | $1.68 |
| 09-14 01:41 | Will “The Daily Show” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? | BUY | 0.9229999968 | $18.51 |
| 09-11 00:43 | Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.05 |
| 09-08 15:32 | Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.9147822872 | $49.54 |