PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xLuck

0x7d51f58c68b427d113d5c84b508161d4e0286f1f

Realised P&L
$5.4k
Volume
$143.7k
Markets traded
209
Open portfolio
$99.53

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded209
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? · Yes0.4780.443$88.53−$7.08
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0050.001$11.00−$94.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 22:15Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?SELL0.57$49.90
10-10 22:15Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?SELL0.58$17.46
10-10 22:15Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?SELL0.5853993965$36.86
10-10 19:55Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?BUY0.5124001601$12.80
10-10 19:55Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?BUY0.508$2.54
10-10 19:55Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?BUY0.506$35.14
10-10 19:54Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?SELL0.5835989203$58.38
10-09 23:24Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?BUY0.53$10.60
10-09 23:18Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?BUY0.43$9.91
10-09 23:17Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?BUY0.43$31.36
10-09 23:17Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?BUY0.43$22.36
10-09 23:17Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?BUY0.42$20.16
10-09 23:15Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?BUY0.42$42.00
09-19 22:24Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?SELL0.71$350.93
09-08 12:44Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.001$10.00