0xLuck
0x7d51f58c68b427d113d5c84b508161d4e0286f1f
- Realised P&L
- $5.4k
- Volume
- $143.7k
- Markets traded
- 209
- Open portfolio
- $99.53
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded209
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? · Yes | 0.478 | 0.443 | $88.53 | −$7.08 |
| Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $11.00 | −$94.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.412US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28?
- +$413.64at 0.318Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
- +$373.54at 0.536Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?
- +$368.50at 0.404U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$326.09at 0.548US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 22:15 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30? | SELL | 0.57 | $49.90 |
| 10-10 22:15 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30? | SELL | 0.58 | $17.46 |
| 10-10 22:15 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30? | SELL | 0.5853993965 | $36.86 |
| 10-10 19:55 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | BUY | 0.5124001601 | $12.80 |
| 10-10 19:55 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | BUY | 0.508 | $2.54 |
| 10-10 19:55 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | BUY | 0.506 | $35.14 |
| 10-10 19:54 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30? | SELL | 0.5835989203 | $58.38 |
| 10-09 23:24 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30? | BUY | 0.53 | $10.60 |
| 10-09 23:18 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30? | BUY | 0.43 | $9.91 |
| 10-09 23:17 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30? | BUY | 0.43 | $31.36 |
| 10-09 23:17 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30? | BUY | 0.43 | $22.36 |
| 10-09 23:17 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30? | BUY | 0.42 | $20.16 |
| 10-09 23:15 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30? | BUY | 0.42 | $42.00 |
| 09-19 22:24 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | SELL | 0.71 | $350.93 |
| 09-08 12:44 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |