0x7d4d191db2a29407319b993dbfe21fa03bae96f3
0x7d4d191db2a29407319b993dbfe21fa03bae96f3
- Realised P&L
- $-106.15
- Volume
- $63.7k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $34.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.415 | $20.75 | +$15.75 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.375 | 0.560 | $7.47 | +$2.47 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.380 | $1.81 | −$0.10 |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.019 | $1.03 | +$0.50 |
| Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.004 | $0.88 | −$0.13 |
| Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.003 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.011 | $0.81 | −$0.19 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.005 | $0.71 | −$0.14 |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.007 | $0.24 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.26at 0.336Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$17.25at 0.241Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
- +$8.64at 0.383Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.93at 0.572Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
- +$7.25at 0.130Will Declan Rice score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 09:09 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.91 |
| 09-22 09:09 | Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 09:08 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.85 |
| 09-22 09:08 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.28 |
| 09-22 09:07 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.013 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 09:07 | Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.53 |
| 09-22 09:06 | Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 08:59 | Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.004 | $7.08 |
| 09-22 08:59 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.32 |
| 09-14 22:50 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.4299999982 | $2.42 |
| 09-14 22:45 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.05 |
| 09-14 22:44 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.61 |
| 08-03 18:54 | LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.001 | $1.07 |
| 08-03 18:54 | Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | SELL | 0.039 | $0.76 |
| 08-03 18:52 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.48 |