PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x7d4d191db2a29407319b993dbfe21fa03bae96f3

Realised P&L
$-55.58
Volume
$60.8k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$52.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0110.011$18.60$0.89
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3750.515$6.87+$1.87
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3100.355$5.73+$0.73
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.1200.135$5.46+$0.61
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.095$4.75$0.25
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$3.84$3.84
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5700.425$3.73$1.27
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0160.011$1.85$0.72
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.0050.001$0.80$7.88
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? · No0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · No0.0020.001$0.44$1.33
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season · Shifters0.0010.000$0.00$1.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 18:54LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY0.001$1.07
08-03 18:54Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?SELL0.039$0.76
08-03 18:52Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.024$0.48
08-03 11:00Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.002$1.77
08-03 10:59Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.001$1.00
08-03 10:59Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.001$1.00
08-02 07:39Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?BUY0.051000003$1.00
08-02 01:42Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.001$1.27
08-02 01:40LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonBUY0.001$10.00
08-02 01:36Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.001$7.69
08-02 01:31Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.2599999646$5.00
08-02 01:30Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?BUY0.001$0.98
08-02 01:29Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
07-25 06:06Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C or higher on July 25?BUY0.001$1.33
07-24 15:34Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 92°F or higher on July 24?BUY0.001$0.70