0x7d4d191db2a29407319b993dbfe21fa03bae96f3
- Realised P&L
- $-55.58
- Volume
- $60.8k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $52.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.00at 0.313Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$17.73at 0.220Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
- +$9.01at 0.357Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$8.52at 0.540Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
- +$7.33at 0.120Will Declan Rice score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 18:54 | LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.001 | $1.07 |
| 08-03 18:54 | Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | SELL | 0.039 | $0.76 |
| 08-03 18:52 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.48 |
| 08-03 11:00 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.77 |
| 08-03 10:59 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 10:59 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 07:39 | Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | BUY | 0.051000003 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 01:42 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.27 |
| 08-02 01:40 | LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 01:36 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $7.69 |
| 08-02 01:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 01:30 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.98 |
| 08-02 01:29 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C or higher on July 25? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.33 |
| 07-24 15:34 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 92°F or higher on July 24? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.70 |