heiseseng
0x7d45c4a97696a3cb93d2374e151a90079850fcf8
- Realised P&L
- $-8.10
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $13.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1150? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.996 | $13.66 | −$0.04 |
| Rangers vs. Senators · Senators | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.32 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.13at 0.750Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
- +$50.10at 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 23?
- +$49.49at 0.750Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
- +$49.14at 0.750Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
- +$2.92at 0.620Dolphins vs. Steelers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 11:41 | Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1150? | BUY | 0.9989999791 | $13.70 |
| 08-28 14:16 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.70 |
| 07-24 06:26 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.60 |
| 06-14 09:27 | Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.18 |
| 06-14 09:22 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.26 |
| 06-14 09:21 | Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.12 |
| 06-14 09:21 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.00 |
| 06-14 09:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 06-14 09:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 14? | BUY | 0.998999002 | $1.00 |
| 06-14 09:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14? | BUY | 0.9989993058 | $1.18 |
| 06-14 09:21 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.15 |
| 06-14 09:20 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $25.00 |
| 06-10 01:27 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $102.00 |
| 06-05 03:37 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 5? | BUY | 0.9989999913 | $103.00 |
| 05-30 09:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $102.00 |