Lucyobinson
0x7d4578b70f61989f1e626288052ff6afef21b507
- Realised P&L
- $-41.70
- Volume
- $66.2k
- Markets traded
- 242
- Open portfolio
- $29.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded242
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.94at 0.420Utah vs. Panthers
- +$14.67at 0.460Thunder vs. Spurs
- +$13.11at 0.490Sabres vs. Panthers
- +$12.40at 0.200Bucks vs. Magic
- +$10.96at 0.480Hawks vs. Pacers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 16:58 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in September? | BUY | 0.997 | $30.00 |
| 08-28 07:32 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $376 in August? | BUY | 0.9981008084 | $111.00 |
| 07-17 08:18 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $457.50 Week of July 13 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 07-17 08:12 | Spread: Spain (-1.5) | BUY | 0.8 | $9.00 |
| 06-30 08:18 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $109.00 |
| 05-31 09:05 | Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $98.33 |
| 05-30 12:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $98.24 |
| 05-29 10:45 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $360 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $87.04 |
| 05-29 10:41 | Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.10 |
| 05-28 04:31 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $86.52 |
| 05-28 04:29 | Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.995 | $85.91 |
| 05-28 04:06 | Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.996 | $86.00 |
| 05-28 04:04 | Will Sporting Kansas City win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.997 | $85.91 |
| 05-28 03:46 | Will Sporting Kansas City win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.998 | $86.00 |
| 05-28 03:41 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.43 |