0x7d32490255f347d4b40875a9caaca48ba4cc96ed
- Realised P&L
- $-160.64
- Volume
- $720.08
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $31.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-22.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26? · Up | 0.904 | 0.295 | $27.14 | −$56.01 |
| Will Catherine McKenney win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.015 | $4.50 | −$61.50 |
| Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.91at 0.930Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on April 2?
- +$0.82at 0.900Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 2?
- +$0.40at 0.590Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-05 06:40 | Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | BUY | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 04-02 09:26 | Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on April 2? | SELL | 0.92 | $46.00 |
| 04-02 09:25 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on April 2? | SELL | 0.99356862 | $26.28 |