rtRumble
0x7d31bff96a064b2216c856af1959648b675ccb04
- Realised P&L
- $-4.5k
- Volume
- $200.9k
- Markets traded
- 122
- Open portfolio
- $142.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded122
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.520 | 1.000 | $105.77 | +$50.77 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? · Yes | 0.503 | 0.135 | $19.17 | −$52.25 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.125 | $15.63 | −$34.38 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.011 | $1.67 | −$48.33 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.7kat 0.242Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
- +$2.3kat 0.259Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?
- +$1.6kat 0.683Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
- +$1.5kat 0.279Will Biden pardon Fauci?
- +$1.4kat 0.396Biden drops out of presidential race?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 19:05 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5399999964 | $60.00 |
| 07-14 23:18 | England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5199999992 | $55.00 |
| 07-14 23:18 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2299999968 | $50.00 |
| 07-11 19:38 | Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6299999971 | $75.00 |
| 07-11 19:33 | Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.3399999967 | $50.00 |
| 07-11 19:27 | Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6299999987 | $150.00 |
| 06-29 21:35 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.3899999911 | $25.00 |
| 06-29 16:29 | Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4299999983 | $75.00 |
| 06-29 16:26 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.19 | $76.00 |
| 06-14 05:20 | Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 06-14 02:46 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999998 | $200.00 |
| 06-14 02:43 | Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4899999996 | $250.00 |
| 05-31 01:58 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.2699999938 | $25.00 |
| 05-30 15:48 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5199999958 | $50.00 |
| 05-30 15:47 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.4799999931 | $25.00 |