poka15
0x7d2d93a1c89cdd39880bd9f4de7ec62454ebdeaf
- Realised P&L
- $-204.05
- Volume
- $36.2k
- Markets traded
- 4,695
- Open portfolio
- $0.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,695
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.48at 0.754UFC Fight Night: Alex Morono vs. Daniil Donchenko (Welterweight, Prelims)
- +$29.38at 0.658Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- +$20.60at 0.437Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
- +$15.01at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
- +$13.00at 0.350Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 13:46 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $30.00 |
| 09-15 12:09 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $81.00 |
| 09-15 11:34 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.78 | $7.80 |
| 09-15 11:33 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.78 | $7.80 |
| 09-15 11:02 | Will "Primetime" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | SELL | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 09-15 11:01 | Will "Primetime" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | SELL | 0.59 | $5.90 |
| 08-30 07:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | SELL | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 08-30 07:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | SELL | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 08-30 07:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | SELL | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 08-30 07:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | SELL | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 08-30 07:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-29 14:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | SELL | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 08-29 14:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | SELL | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 08-29 14:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | SELL | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 08-29 14:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | SELL | 0.48 | $2.40 |