PolyBot

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Traders

poka15

0x7d2d93a1c89cdd39880bd9f4de7ec62454ebdeaf

Realised P&L
$-204.05
Volume
$36.2k
Markets traded
4,695
Open portfolio
$0.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,695
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? · Yes0.0700.043$0.42$0.28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1900.043$0.22$0.78
Is Earth flat? · Yes0.5000.007$0.01$0.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET · Down0.4700.000$0.00$2.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET · Up0.4800.000$0.00$2.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET · Down0.4800.000$0.00$2.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET · Up0.4800.000$0.00$2.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET · Down0.4800.000$0.00$2.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET · Down0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET · Down0.4800.000$0.00$2.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET · Down0.4800.000$0.00$2.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET · Up0.4800.000$0.00$2.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET · Up0.4800.000$0.00$2.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET · Down0.4800.000$0.00$2.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET · Up0.4800.000$0.00$2.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 13:46Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.15$30.00
09-15 12:09Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.81$81.00
09-15 11:34Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.78$7.80
09-15 11:33Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.78$7.80
09-15 11:02Will "Primetime" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?SELL0.33$3.30
09-15 11:01Will "Primetime" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?SELL0.59$5.90
08-30 07:34Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETSELL0.53$2.65
08-30 07:24Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETSELL0.49$2.45
08-30 07:23Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ETSELL0.47$2.35
08-30 07:18Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETSELL0.49$2.45
08-30 07:14Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETSELL0.99$4.95
08-29 14:24Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETSELL0.49$2.45
08-29 14:21Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETSELL0.6$3.00
08-29 14:16Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETSELL0.55$2.75
08-29 14:14Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETSELL0.48$2.40