PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Decayer

0x7d26d98cd61a2de8ce4a37a05cf9537ec85fa7d1

Realised P&L
$45.4k
Volume
$2.12M
Markets traded
545
Open portfolio
$18.0k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded545
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.7040.739$2.8k+$132.19
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.7340.945$2.3k+$523.87
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.1270.181$1.9k+$588.69
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.6290.680$1.3k+$98.36
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.4700.690$842.21+$268.90
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? · No0.3600.425$840.68+$129.16
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.4170.250$815.29$544.70
Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026? · No0.4610.708$763.84+$265.64
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.2480.320$741.13+$167.41
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.2840.745$680.16+$421.03
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2027? · No0.4550.725$487.56+$181.79
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.7420.966$462.95+$107.20
Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027? · No0.3390.705$460.56+$238.95
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 10? · No0.8110.875$414.53+$30.29
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0750.145$413.58+$200.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 13:43Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?SELL0.733766175$277.06
09-14 13:19Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.3103593423$103.82
09-12 03:01Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.66$204.60
09-11 14:09Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.9133951423$594.56
09-09 19:39Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027?SELL0.7044068938$355.58
09-09 15:54Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.157$157.00
09-09 15:54Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.1553992248$400.93
09-09 15:51Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.154$141.50
09-07 15:19Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.6780258689$291.46
09-07 15:18Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.7236410625$201.61
09-04 00:12Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.1289090909$212.70
09-02 15:14Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.4298388103$800.00
08-31 02:46Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1469072999$174.42
08-29 16:55Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.3159900589$158.93
08-28 17:39Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.6969999989$500.00