Decayer
0x7d26d98cd61a2de8ce4a37a05cf9537ec85fa7d1
- Realised P&L
- $45.4k
- Volume
- $2.12M
- Markets traded
- 545
- Open portfolio
- $18.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded545
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.4kat 0.402Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$6.1kat 0.995Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$3.3kat 0.684MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$2.3kat 0.497Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$2.2kat 0.544Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 13:43 | Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.733766175 | $277.06 |
| 09-14 13:19 | Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3103593423 | $103.82 |
| 09-12 03:01 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.66 | $204.60 |
| 09-11 14:09 | Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9133951423 | $594.56 |
| 09-09 19:39 | Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.7044068938 | $355.58 |
| 09-09 15:54 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.157 | $157.00 |
| 09-09 15:54 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1553992248 | $400.93 |
| 09-09 15:51 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.154 | $141.50 |
| 09-07 15:19 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6780258689 | $291.46 |
| 09-07 15:18 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7236410625 | $201.61 |
| 09-04 00:12 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1289090909 | $212.70 |
| 09-02 15:14 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4298388103 | $800.00 |
| 08-31 02:46 | Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1469072999 | $174.42 |
| 08-29 16:55 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.3159900589 | $158.93 |
| 08-28 17:39 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6969999989 | $500.00 |