Decayer
0x7d26d98cd61a2de8ce4a37a05cf9537ec85fa7d1
- Realised P&L
- $38.6k
- Volume
- $2.17M
- Markets traded
- 551
- Open portfolio
- $11.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded551
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.4kat 0.402Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$6.1kat 0.995Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$3.3kat 0.684MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$2.3kat 0.497Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$2.1kat 0.560Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 03:07 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5986144366 | $492.52 |
| 11-01 02:25 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.38 |
| 11-01 02:25 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0122963921 | $3.61 |
| 11-01 02:25 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0597023231 | $12.16 |
| 11-01 02:24 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0943374986 | $49.22 |
| 11-01 02:16 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.479 | $240.94 |
| 11-01 02:15 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4622524038 | $384.59 |
| 10-30 02:34 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.5034027778 | $108.74 |
| 10-30 02:34 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.535 | $1.1k |
| 10-30 02:33 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.28 | $349.72 |
| 10-30 01:18 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.28 | $90.12 |
| 10-29 13:59 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5361901136 | $246.44 |
| 10-29 12:25 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.21 | $618.78 |
| 10-28 14:06 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1976790964 | $25.55 |
| 10-25 22:24 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.5837873841 | $447.01 |