HilelTheElder
0x7d23fb598caaeea3a2d513baace88cc500ecc660
- Realised P&L
- $4.3k
- Volume
- $410.5k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $102.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.876Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
- +$985.29at 0.953Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$744.96at 0.903Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
- +$581.43at 0.963Netanyahu out by March 31?
- +$359.13at 0.878Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 19:38 | Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 10-28 19:37 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0235603623 | $2.68 |
| 10-28 19:37 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9297953741 | $11.6k |
| 10-26 21:26 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8699346 | $869.93 |
| 10-26 21:23 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.91 | $910.00 |
| 10-26 21:18 | Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | BUY | 0.888764996 | $654.16 |
| 10-26 21:15 | Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8671514492 | $2.4k |
| 10-26 21:14 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.033 | $89.10 |
| 10-26 21:06 | Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $1.0k |
| 10-26 20:58 | Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.8974318214 | $2.5k |
| 10-26 20:57 | Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | BUY | 0.8863116945 | $785.33 |
| 10-26 20:57 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9578997269 | $2.5k |
| 10-26 20:53 | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9139628182 | $1.0k |
| 10-26 20:52 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.1k |
| 10-26 20:52 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9350765704 | $5.4k |