erik04
0x7d1124e20ecabc819419914d95a926b3910e8313
- Realised P&L
- $35.67
- Volume
- $11.8k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $69.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.961 | $33.32 | +$5.93 |
| Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? · No | 0.750 | 0.825 | $22.78 | +$2.07 |
| Will Donald Trump visit New Mexico in 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.835 | $13.32 | +$1.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.32at 0.400Will Real Madrid win La Liga?
- +$18.28at 0.560LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs
- +$4.62at 0.572Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?
- +$2.55at 0.800Will the price of Solana be above $115 on October 2?
- +$0.91at 0.700TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9989998413 | $3.45 |
| 01-31 13:51 | Will BNB dip to $700 in January? | BUY | 0.998999957 | $22.03 |
| 01-30 18:40 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January? | BUY | 0.9764833326 | $11.01 |
| 01-30 14:38 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $17.99 |
| 01-30 14:27 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $26.64 |
| 01-30 13:21 | Will Opendoor dip to $1.25 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $40.25 |
| 12-30 09:29 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979996386 | $2.06 |
| 12-30 09:17 | Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989998032 | $3.34 |
| 12-30 08:56 | Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.19 |
| 12-30 08:15 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999904 | $27.38 |
| 12-29 23:07 | Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.9899999744 | $13.53 |
| 12-29 21:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999875 | $66.11 |
| 10-30 19:21 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.66 |
| 10-30 18:25 | Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%? | BUY | 0.999 | $35.84 |
| 09-29 16:45 | Will Google have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.995 | $19.86 |