PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

erik04

0x7d1124e20ecabc819419914d95a926b3910e8313

Realised P&L
$35.67
Volume
$11.8k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$69.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? · Yes0.7900.961$33.32+$5.93
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? · No0.7500.825$22.78+$2.07
Will Donald Trump visit New Mexico in 2026? · No0.7200.835$13.32+$1.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 14:11Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?BUY0.9989998413$3.45
01-31 13:51Will BNB dip to $700 in January?BUY0.998999957$22.03
01-30 18:40Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?BUY0.9764833326$11.01
01-30 14:38Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY0.998$17.99
01-30 14:27Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in January?BUY0.995$26.64
01-30 13:21Will Opendoor dip to $1.25 in January?BUY0.999$40.25
12-30 09:29Xi Jinping out in 2025?BUY0.9979996386$2.06
12-30 09:17Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?BUY0.9989998032$3.34
12-30 08:56Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025?BUY0.999$10.19
12-30 08:15Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?BUY0.9979999904$27.38
12-29 23:07Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?BUY0.9899999744$13.53
12-29 21:16Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9989999875$66.11
10-30 19:21Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$32.66
10-30 18:25Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%?BUY0.999$35.84
09-29 16:45Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.995$19.86