0x7d077907a96fc40eb88df089f0ceaaa5d2c4797d
0x7d077907a96fc40eb88df089f0ceaaa5d2c4797d
- Realised P&L
- $2.50
- Volume
- $35.32
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $15.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Puerto Rico win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.915 | $4.64 | +$0.08 |
| Will Montserrat win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.825 | $4.14 | +$0.08 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.825 | $4.13 | +$0.03 |
| Will Guadeloupe win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.460 | $2.31 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.55at 0.502Will Detroit City FC win on 2026-09-30?
- +$-0.05at 0.210Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 03:35 | Will Guadeloupe win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.4699999622 | $2.36 |
| 09-30 22:03 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.819999984 | $4.11 |
| 09-30 22:03 | Will Detroit City FC win on 2026-09-30? | BUY | 0.489999998 | $2.51 |
| 09-30 20:08 | Will Puerto Rico win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.56 |
| 09-30 19:23 | Will Montserrat win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.809999996 | $4.06 |
| 09-30 17:10 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.01 |
| 09-30 17:09 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.2099999604 | $1.06 |