PolyBot

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Traders

0x7d011b6e49434ed8b2e37adedcf17aa6e0904988

0x7d011b6e49434ed8b2e37adedcf17aa6e0904988

Realised P&L
$-44.22
Volume
$8.6k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$65.61

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration80.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.735$24.25+$19.30
Will Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · Yes0.0600.070$6.37+$0.91
Set 4 Winner: Sinner vs Zverev · Sinner0.8401.000$6.00+$0.96
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0200.024$5.71+$0.85
Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5 · Over0.9961.000$5.00+$0.02
Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5 · Over0.9981.000$5.00+$0.01
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0160.013$4.36$0.81
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1800.115$3.22$1.82
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0260.038$2.97+$0.94
Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes0.0600.019$1.73$3.73
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0060.009$0.82+$0.24
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0320.004$0.14$1.17
Will Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes0.0200.001$0.02$0.89
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$0.16
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? · Yes0.0750.000$0.00$5.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 14:10Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.026$10.19
07-17 13:28Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.026$3.30
07-16 13:05Iran leadership change by September 30?SELL0.12$4.01
07-16 12:52Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.1$0.50
07-16 12:52Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.045$1.21
07-16 12:50Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.023$9.80
07-14 19:08Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0335364873$1.08
07-14 12:56Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.024$1.25
07-14 12:40Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.024$10.22
07-12 18:34Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.8$4.80
07-11 23:21Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.017$8.72
07-11 23:20Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.06$2.28
07-11 23:19Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.016$8.21
07-11 23:18Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?SELL0.06$1.79
07-11 23:18Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1$4.30