PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x7d011b6e49434ed8b2e37adedcf17aa6e0904988

Realised P&L
$-42.36
Volume
$8.6k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$47.73

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration73.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0160.021$6.62+$1.45
Set 4 Winner: Sinner vs Zverev · Sinner0.8401.000$6.00+$0.96
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.175$5.77+$0.82
Will Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · Yes0.0600.055$5.00$0.46
Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5 · Over0.9961.000$5.00+$0.02
Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5 · Over0.9981.000$5.00+$0.01
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1800.145$4.06$0.98
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0200.013$3.16$1.70
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0320.018$2.73$2.26
Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes0.0600.014$1.27$4.19
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0260.015$1.13$0.90
Will Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes0.0200.015$0.71$0.21
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes0.0300.021$0.61$0.26
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0060.004$0.44$0.15
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0160.011$0.11$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 14:10Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.026$10.19
07-17 13:28Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.026$3.30
07-16 13:05Iran leadership change by September 30?SELL0.12$4.01
07-16 12:52Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.1$0.50
07-16 12:52Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.045$1.21
07-16 12:50Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.023$9.80
07-14 19:08Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0335364873$1.08
07-14 12:56Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.024$1.25
07-14 12:40Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.024$10.22
07-12 18:34Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.8$4.80
07-11 23:21Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.017$8.72
07-11 23:20Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.06$2.28
07-11 23:19Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.016$8.21
07-11 23:18Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?SELL0.06$1.79
07-11 23:18Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1$4.30