neh-man
0x7cff152615d6cfe52b0723d0a8b1f845192bd283
- Realised P&L
- $11.89
- Volume
- $244.85
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $49.28
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.55at 0.430Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?
- +$3.27at 0.550Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
- +$2.19at 0.634Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
- +$1.90at 0.620Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- +$1.75at 0.650US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 21:58 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 10-18 21:58 | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | SELL | 0.613 | $3.06 |
| 10-18 05:09 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 10-16 21:59 | Will the Mississippi 2026 Senate race be within 1%? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 10-16 05:10 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 10-16 05:09 | OpenAI resumes training by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.992 | $4.96 |
| 10-15 05:09 | Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 10-13 21:59 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 10-13 05:10 | Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 10-12 22:00 | OpenAI resumes training by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 10-12 05:09 | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 10-11 05:09 | Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 10-11 05:09 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 15? | SELL | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 10-10 22:02 | Will Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Shavkat Mirziyoyev in Turkmenistan? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 10-10 22:02 | Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? | SELL | 0.95 | $4.75 |