neh-man
0x7cff152615d6cfe52b0723d0a8b1f845192bd283
- Realised P&L
- $-0.15
- Volume
- $26.77
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $15.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.955 | $4.77 | +$1.37 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.790 | $3.95 | +$0.50 |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? · No | 0.746 | 0.759 | $3.80 | +$0.07 |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.630 | $3.15 | −$1.10 |
| Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12? · No | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.19at 0.964Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 06:56 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.746 | $3.73 |
| 08-04 06:55 | Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 08-03 09:11 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 07-07 07:45 | Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 07-05 11:35 | Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12? | BUY | 0.69 | $1.10 |
| 07-05 11:11 | Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.964 | $4.99 |