0x7cfc717dd701664a53ce274caa2437d22841ebbf
0x7cfc717dd701664a53ce274caa2437d22841ebbf
- Realised P&L
- $-4.73
- Volume
- $154.50
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $2.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.480 | $1.55 | +$0.55 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.350 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.67at 0.278Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.67at 0.278Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.00at 0.339Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
- +$1.68at 0.379SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 18:05 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:33 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 08:08 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 16:08 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 04:05 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 19:52 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:09 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 00:19 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:34 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 00:27 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $177 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 15:16 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 07:11 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 22:23 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 04:02 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |