PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

potek

0x7ceb1fa1bfec8a405290204bbf614633f72ee37f

Realised P&L
$96.46
Volume
$16.3k
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$4.85

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in October? · Yes0.0190.013$2.13−$0.87
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in October? · Yes0.0050.004$0.90−$0.10
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in October? · Yes0.0170.007$0.88−$1.12
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in October? · Yes0.0040.003$0.63−$0.38
Will annual inflation be 3.2% or less in October? · Yes0.0080.003$0.31−$0.69
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026? · No0.0220.000$0.00−$2.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? · No0.3560.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.1200.000$0.00−$13.96
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$5.00
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 400M by June 5? · No0.1000.000$0.00−$0.50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3630.000$0.00−$81.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 08:56Will annual inflation be 3.6% in October?BUY0.019$3.00
10-29 08:56Will annual inflation be 3.5% in October?BUY0.017$2.00
10-29 08:56Will annual inflation be 3.4% in October?BUY0.0049888582$1.00
10-29 08:55Will annual inflation be 3.3% in October?BUY0.004$1.00
10-29 08:55Will annual inflation be 3.2% or less in October?BUY0.008$1.00
09-16 16:37Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1199999993$13.96
09-11 14:18Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1899999983$17.00
08-28 17:04Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4799999973$64.00
08-19 11:49Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.28$23.17
08-14 07:37Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2899999938$24.00
07-07 18:41Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.034$8.95
07-07 18:38Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.029$8.53
07-07 18:09Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.01$4.17
06-30 09:12Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.005$2.78
06-14 10:39Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.983$24.57