Flipbandit
0x7ce85a4ca21de08355a1eaa2b23a98e5d3b17772
- Realised P&L
- $26.6k
- Volume
- $560.7k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $39.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.816 | 0.895 | $16.4k | +$1.5k |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.981 | 0.990 | $6.1k | +$52.11 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No | 0.984 | 0.992 | $6.1k | +$48.83 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.920 | $5.3k | +$292.90 |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.822 | 0.835 | $5.2k | +$83.01 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.894Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
- +$1.5kat 0.840Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$1.5kat 0.870Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
- +$1.5kat 0.897Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$1.5kat 0.847Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 19:55 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.5k |
| 09-08 19:52 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.87 | $3.0k |
| 09-08 19:52 | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.0k |
| 09-08 19:50 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.9839953672 | $6.0k |
| 09-08 19:50 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $5.0k |
| 09-03 04:39 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.981 | $6.0k |
| 08-26 16:43 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96825625 | $6.0k |
| 08-10 15:14 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.987859752 | $4.9k |
| 08-10 15:13 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9097074571 | $6.4k |
| 07-27 19:33 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.735 | $4.0k |
| 07-15 17:08 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.9700101479 | $3.8k |
| 06-22 00:19 | Starmer out by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9540128557 | $215.21 |
| 06-18 17:27 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9890837233 | $5.0k |
| 05-27 23:59 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.0k |
| 05-22 17:20 | Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.0k |