0x7ce5ac622978d069fc5be720777ca5f44974a842
- Realised P&L
- $-0.93
- Volume
- $802.56
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $18.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.527 | $12.27 | +$2.27 |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by December 31? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.335 | $6.44 | −$3.56 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.79at 0.206Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$12.51at 0.450Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$11.47at 0.312Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
- +$10.50at 0.230Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$9.16at 0.722Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-23 19:02 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by December 31? | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $10.00 |
| 08-23 19:02 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 07-27 15:01 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.0539999504 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 06:41 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.4199999272 | $3.00 |
| 07-23 06:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July? | BUY | 0.379999962 | $3.00 |
| 07-23 06:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.774999969 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 23:06 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0749999869 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 23:06 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 07-18 20:41 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4019999504 | $3.00 |
| 07-18 20:36 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5149999845 | $11.00 |
| 07-18 20:23 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.2199999531 | $3.00 |
| 07-15 21:48 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4199999622 | $4.00 |
| 07-13 03:11 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3099999401 | $3.00 |
| 07-12 03:44 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 02:26 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.1099999685 | $3.00 |