PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7ce5ac622978d069fc5be720777ca5f44974a842

Realised P&L
$-0.93
Volume
$802.56
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$18.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31? · Yes0.4300.527$12.27+$2.27
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by December 31? · Yes0.5200.335$6.44$3.56
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 19:02Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by December 31?BUY0.5199999813$10.00
08-23 19:02Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31?BUY0.4299999931$10.00
07-27 15:01Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.0539999504$1.00
07-23 06:41Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.4199999272$3.00
07-23 06:40Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?BUY0.379999962$3.00
07-23 06:40Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?BUY0.774999969$5.00
07-18 23:06Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0749999869$5.00
07-18 23:06Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.08$2.00
07-18 20:41Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4019999504$3.00
07-18 20:36Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5149999845$11.00
07-18 20:23Will England win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.2199999531$3.00
07-15 21:48Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4199999622$4.00
07-13 03:11Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3099999401$3.00
07-12 03:44Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.29999997$5.00
07-07 02:26Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?BUY0.1099999685$3.00