0x7Ce336595687024C9ebF620F2dCb3b71269B1689-1774766944047
0x7ce336595687024c9ebf620f2dcb3b71269b1689
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $321.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,091
- Open portfolio
- $3.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,091
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 26? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.075 | $3.07 | −$3.07 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.002 | $0.75 | −$54.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$402.68at 0.272Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 9?
- +$323.39at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?
- +$282.00at 0.285Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 9?
- +$235.34at 0.479Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 13?
- +$232.34at 0.067Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 06:26 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.0348282242 | $6.96 |
| 09-24 05:16 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.1156 | $11.56 |
| 09-24 04:31 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.0787541667 | $9.45 |
| 09-24 02:01 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.0540633333 | $9.73 |
| 09-24 02:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.4208695652 | $48.40 |
| 09-23 12:13 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.180789726 | $26.40 |
| 09-23 09:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.3068913451 | $62.19 |
| 09-22 09:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.17 | $0.85 |
| 09-22 06:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.3330612245 | $32.64 |
| 09-22 02:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.113314 | $22.66 |
| 09-22 02:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.62 | $84.32 |
| 09-21 17:45 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.21 | $42.00 |
| 09-21 06:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 09-21 03:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.455204 | $45.52 |
| 09-19 05:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.22 | $5.62 |