chinanb1
0x7ce2229116c16e4bcd218e29e4d32904054613de
- Realised P&L
- $145.61
- Volume
- $107.7k
- Markets traded
- 152
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded152
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-09-18? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $999.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will VVV Venlo win on 2026-09-18? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $566.04 | +$0.28 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 13, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.987 | $526.69 | −$6.40 |
| Will Almere City FC win on 2026-09-18? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $120.25 | +$0.06 |
| Will Pau FC vs. USL Dunkerque end in a draw? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $43.88 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.00at 0.990Valencia: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Joelle Steur
- +$9.35at 0.991US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
- +$6.65at 0.993Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$5.43at 0.995US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
- +$4.07at 0.996US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 20:20 | Rennes: Francesco Maestrelli vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | BUY | 0.999 | $244.30 |
| 09-18 19:57 | Will VVV Venlo win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.999 | $565.75 |
| 09-18 19:56 | Will Almere City FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.999 | $35.17 |
| 09-18 19:55 | Will Pau FC vs. USL Dunkerque end in a draw? | BUY | 0.999 | $43.86 |
| 09-18 19:24 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $311.84 |
| 09-18 15:36 | Counter-Strike: JUMBO TEAM vs mskLANERS (BO3) - GLuck Yungstar Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Group B | BUY | 0.999 | $762.42 |
| 09-18 15:22 | W15 Sao Luis: Jennifer Rosa Dourado vs Josefina Estevez | BUY | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 09-18 14:09 | Will Madura United win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.999 | $113.85 |
| 09-18 06:45 | M15 Hurghada: Paul Jubb vs Viktor Frydrych | BUY | 0.999 | $824.33 |
| 09-18 06:38 | Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? | BUY | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 09-18 00:54 | Will Éric Zemmour announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $998.00 |
| 09-17 17:27 | LoL: CITA Kaizen vs eSuba - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.998 | $998.00 |
| 09-17 12:23 | M15 Monastir: Maxence Bertimon vs Ewen Lumsden | BUY | 0.999 | $55.84 |
| 09-17 12:13 | Guangzhou (Doubles): Trotter/Uchida vs Bayldon/Kadhe | BUY | 0.999 | $217.15 |
| 09-17 08:51 | KHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. Shanghai Dragons | BUY | 0.999 | $999.00 |