PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

cervlord

0x7cdc0a3bda5e11762a12a20422f2dfb39bdf5759

Realised P&L
$-331.24
Volume
$15.6k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$854.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 17:09Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.6593406577$100.00
07-26 17:53Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.6089489$100.00
07-26 17:30Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.649999999$100.00
07-26 13:21Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7199999986$100.00
07-26 12:23Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.6099999985$100.00
07-26 12:16Will Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?SELL0.2504767259$11.14
07-22 19:05Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.7899999926$99.38
07-22 10:05Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.2699999978$80.00
07-22 08:30Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.9652504069$77.09
07-19 20:29Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1735841298$50.00
07-19 20:27Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.32257388$161.29
07-19 20:22Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1387424385$50.00
07-17 07:32Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1$50.00
05-07 08:41Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.209999993$23.53
04-27 06:31Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.5911330049$46.43