0x7CD9528e633108567EA69b05AEB9192942387Ef2-1770306198833
0x7cd9528e633108567ea69b05aeb9192942387ef2
- Realised P&L
- $4.34
- Volume
- $15.9k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $5.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C or below on October 10? · No | 0.998 | 0.991 | $5.66 | −$0.04 |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
| Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.50 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $120 Week of May 18 2026? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.38at 0.500Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5
- +$18.40at 0.500Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $120 Week of May 18 2026?
- +$16.80at 0.500Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5
- +$8.74at 0.977Paradex FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
- +$5.40at 0.970Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 10:09 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C or below on October 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.70 |
| 10-07 08:25 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be 94°F or higher on October 7? | BUY | 0.995 | $6.12 |
| 09-30 00:42 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.997 | $7.66 |
| 09-28 14:48 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on September 29? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.56 |
| 08-31 15:11 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.05 |
| 07-06 09:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of July 6 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.41 |
| 07-03 02:45 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or below on July 4? | BUY | 0.963 | $5.26 |
| 06-26 01:13 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 27? | BUY | 0.994 | $10.66 |
| 06-20 01:50 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 21? | BUY | 0.98 | $14.94 |
| 06-03 01:17 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 4? | BUY | 0.984 | $10.82 |
| 05-14 12:49 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 11 2026? | BUY | 0.962 | $10.89 |
| 05-08 00:57 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on May 8? | BUY | 0.94 | $10.83 |
| 04-13 11:18 | Red Wings vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.74 | $11.10 |
| 02-16 06:31 | Bitway FDV above $10M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.971 | $1.9k |
| 02-16 06:30 | Bitway FDV above $10M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.974 | $216.23 |