PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7cd843cf8ec39741149f3c7dc27808016e7228d2

0x7cd843cf8ec39741149f3c7dc27808016e7228d2

Realised P&L
$404.75
Volume
$6.9k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$129.72

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration96.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 15? · Yes0.5670.996$74.70+$32.15
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on October 14? · No0.5081.000$55.02+$27.04
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on October 14? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$2.50
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14? · No0.0120.000$0.00−$25.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 21:49Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14?BUY0.1999157082$25.90
10-14 21:27Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 15?SELL0.002$0.28
10-14 21:12Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 15?BUY0.015768354$2.23
10-14 21:11Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 15?BUY0.5673333333$42.55
10-14 21:09Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 50-51°F on October 14?BUY0.6445263158$15.31
10-14 20:19Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14?BUY0.186787234$17.56
10-14 20:18Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14?BUY0.1757565257$31.04
10-14 19:11Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14?BUY0.5$2.50
10-14 19:10Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14?BUY0.4759068798$54.79
10-14 18:50Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 14?BUY0.896$39.42
10-14 18:12Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14?BUY0.358$118.62
10-14 18:12Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on October 14?BUY0.3873530548$80.20
09-21 08:50Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.998$4.00