PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PLYBOTLIAM

0x7cd6fab8b2fa66f53e1c1252245ad1245cb8b33c

Realised P&L
$-2.8k
Volume
$155.7k
Markets traded
289
Open portfolio
$256.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded289
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5000.425$127.50$22.50
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5600.290$103.57$96.43
Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election? · No0.1100.015$20.45$129.55
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.5600.225$4.50$6.70
Will Joe Strada be the FL-11 Republican nominee? · No0.4400.000$0.00$24.28
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 31? · No0.5100.000$0.00$100.00
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 4? · No0.4800.000$0.00$1.82
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 14? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$0.68
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on September 3? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$0.50
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? · No0.3600.000$0.00$100.00
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on September 8? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$22.74
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 11? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$1.61
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 9? · No0.5700.000$0.00$1.87
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 12? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$2.00
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 32 and 33 million views on day 3? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$0.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 06:33Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 36.5 and 37.0 million views on day 4?SELL0.13$1.30
09-16 06:33Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 38.0 and 38.5 million views on day 4?SELL0.002$0.10
09-16 06:33Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 38.5 and 39.0 million views on day 4?SELL0.001$0.03
09-15 22:44Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get less than 36.0 million views on day 4?SELL0.973$5.84
09-15 22:43Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 37.0 and 37.5 million views on day 4?SELL0.39$15.60
09-15 08:42Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 32 and 33 million views on day 3?SELL0.07$0.81
09-15 08:29Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 33 and 34 million views on day 3?SELL0.9$18.00
09-15 08:01Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 32 and 33 million views on day 3?SELL0.1$2.00
09-14 22:57Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?SELL0.611$36.43
09-14 22:57Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?SELL0.366038563$44.42
09-14 07:30Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?SELL0.512$3.07
09-14 06:33Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 14?SELL0.43$2.31
09-13 21:36Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 14?SELL0.3505797836$20.74
09-13 16:18Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 14?BUY0.6230486594$12.55
09-13 16:02Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 14?BUY0.61$3.28