PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dfgrr4g

0x7cd57a3d4625ea3c2585c6bd04107468bc8c0a3e

Realised P&L
$-33.02
Volume
$11.6k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$20.99

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration56.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 10? · No0.9811.000$20.99+$0.39
Spread: 76ers (-1.5) · Magic0.5000.000$0.00−$31.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 02:51Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 10?BUY0.981$20.60
10-06 14:58Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 7?BUY0.981$5.32
09-29 15:22Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 4°C or below on September 30?BUY0.998$7.46
09-28 16:07Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on September 29?BUY0.998$7.10
08-31 15:26Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or below on September 1?BUY0.997$4.99
07-06 08:53Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $780 Week of July 6 2026?BUY0.9500137457$13.82
07-05 02:55Spread: Norway (-3.5)BUY0.996$8.27
06-22 01:03Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 23?BUY0.9900178838$6.64
06-20 02:29Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 21?BUY0.987$14.17
06-09 01:05Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on June 10?BUY0.972$15.55
06-01 02:42Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 2?BUY0.994$17.89
05-18 13:02Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of May 18 above $90?BUY0.85$18.70
05-13 05:52Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 14?BUY0.991$19.52
05-07 00:43Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on May 8?BUY0.991$15.86
04-21 22:52Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 23?BUY0.973$10.11