dfgrr4g
0x7cd57a3d4625ea3c2585c6bd04107468bc8c0a3e
- Realised P&L
- $-33.02
- Volume
- $11.6k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $20.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 10? · No | 0.981 | 1.000 | $20.99 | +$0.39 |
| Spread: 76ers (-1.5) · Magic | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.03at 0.962Will "Flushed out" or "Flush out" be said at the Super Bowl?
- +$3.30at 0.850Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of May 18 above $90?
- +$0.70at 0.952Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $780 Week of July 6 2026?
- +$0.63at 0.500Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
- +$0.43at 0.973Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on June 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 02:51 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.981 | $20.60 |
| 10-06 14:58 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.981 | $5.32 |
| 09-29 15:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 4°C or below on September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.46 |
| 09-28 16:07 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on September 29? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.10 |
| 08-31 15:26 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or below on September 1? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 07-06 08:53 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $780 Week of July 6 2026? | BUY | 0.9500137457 | $13.82 |
| 07-05 02:55 | Spread: Norway (-3.5) | BUY | 0.996 | $8.27 |
| 06-22 01:03 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 23? | BUY | 0.9900178838 | $6.64 |
| 06-20 02:29 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 21? | BUY | 0.987 | $14.17 |
| 06-09 01:05 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on June 10? | BUY | 0.972 | $15.55 |
| 06-01 02:42 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 2? | BUY | 0.994 | $17.89 |
| 05-18 13:02 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of May 18 above $90? | BUY | 0.85 | $18.70 |
| 05-13 05:52 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 14? | BUY | 0.991 | $19.52 |
| 05-07 00:43 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on May 8? | BUY | 0.991 | $15.86 |
| 04-21 22:52 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 23? | BUY | 0.973 | $10.11 |