0x7cc4fe8b865a1163c0bde081b7021ea6743d9f3e
0x7cc4fe8b865a1163c0bde081b7021ea6743d9f3e
- Realised P&L
- $176.13
- Volume
- $15.7k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $211.85
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Rockets · Rockets | 0.560 | 1.000 | $74.14 | +$32.58 |
| Will the Houston Rockets make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes | 0.946 | 0.910 | $50.45 | −$2.01 |
| Will Houston Rockets advance to the Western Conference Semifinals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.535 | $24.39 | +$3.88 |
| Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.076 | $19.53 | −$0.43 |
| Celtics vs. Rockets · Rockets | 0.667 | 0.625 | $18.76 | −$1.26 |
| Will the Houston Rockets be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? · Yes | 0.146 | 0.127 | $13.53 | −$2.09 |
| Will the Houston Rockets finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Western Conference? · Yes | 0.226 | 0.243 | $11.05 | +$0.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$118.87at 0.334Rockets vs. Spurs
- +$5.70at 0.759Mavericks vs. Rockets
- +$-68.24at 0.624Rockets vs. Mavericks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 09:26 | Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.066 | $7.06 |
| 10-31 09:19 | Thunder vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.62 | $18.62 |
| 10-30 23:23 | Celtics vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.66 | $6.18 |
| 10-30 20:13 | Will the Houston Rockets be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? | BUY | 0.146 | $4.49 |
| 10-30 18:50 | Celtics vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 10-30 16:46 | Celtics vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.67 | $6.81 |
| 10-30 15:47 | Celtics vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.67 | $3.68 |
| 10-30 14:31 | Will the Houston Rockets finish as the #1 seed in the 2026-27 NBA Western Conference? | SELL | 0.215 | $3.29 |
| 10-30 13:01 | Will the Houston Rockets be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? | BUY | 0.141 | $1.80 |
| 10-30 11:54 | Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.084 | $0.89 |
| 10-30 11:46 | Will the Houston Rockets make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.96 | $13.44 |
| 10-30 11:31 | Will the Houston Rockets make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.95 | $28.50 |
| 10-30 08:56 | Will the Houston Rockets make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.92 | $10.52 |
| 10-30 08:54 | Rockets vs. Mavericks | SELL | 0.67 | $17.44 |
| 10-30 08:54 | Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.088 | $6.27 |