blobmaster
0x7cbf350c1a98ae778db134250995cc0e3dc86c43
- Realised P&L
- $6.2k
- Volume
- $309.1k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $251.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? · No | 0.670 | 0.860 | $85.89 | +$18.98 |
| Over $500k committed to the over.computer public sale? · Yes | 0.779 | 0.774 | $77.40 | −$0.55 |
| Perena FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.750 | 0.655 | $37.15 | −$5.39 |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.660 | 0.063 | $28.16 | −$269.25 |
| Over $1M committed to the over.computer public sale? · Yes | 0.825 | 0.817 | $16.34 | −$0.16 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.395 | 0.032 | $6.30 | −$72.70 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$135.00 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.388 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.5kat 0.497Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?
- +$3.3kat 0.164Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.9kat 0.030Over $3M committed to the Makina public sale?
- +$1.8kat 0.266Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$827.24at 0.146Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:49 | 1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.11 | $40.33 |
| 11-01 19:49 | 1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.1149085 | $114.91 |
| 11-01 19:30 | 1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.34 | $434.14 |
| 11-01 19:23 | 1win FDV above $70M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.36 | $37.85 |
| 10-28 03:29 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.49 | $490.00 |
| 10-23 16:35 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3883166667 | $11.65 |
| 10-23 16:27 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.543997 | $54.40 |
| 10-20 03:32 | Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $33.36 |
| 10-18 12:47 | Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $95.63 |
| 10-10 00:13 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? | BUY | 0.709999992 | $50.00 |
| 10-10 00:12 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.11 | $19.80 |
| 10-08 06:18 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.16 | $28.80 |
| 10-08 06:14 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.839 | $128.55 |
| 10-01 15:47 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.37 | $55.50 |
| 10-01 15:46 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6199999978 | $95.00 |