0x7CbDd6ffF55e78B77511F44691317dE45a051288-1765189718530
0x7cbdd6fff55e78b77511f44691317de45a051288
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $73.9k
- Markets traded
- 379
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded379
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.124Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?
- +$909.99at 0.090Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
- +$657.23at 0.163Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
- +$527.99at 0.120Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$471.22at 0.160Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 06:34 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | BUY | 0.81 | $150.66 |
| 09-12 07:13 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $132.48 |
| 09-12 06:43 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $74 in September? | BUY | 0.83 | $0.60 |
| 09-12 06:28 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $74 in September? | BUY | 0.81 | $48.60 |
| 09-12 06:28 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $13.99 |
| 08-23 07:25 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $30.80 |
| 08-21 06:44 | Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election? | BUY | 0.13 | $97.76 |
| 08-18 06:55 | Will Elin Norén be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Dalarna? | BUY | 0.17 | $10.20 |
| 08-17 07:31 | Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.04 |
| 08-14 08:02 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.9821097659 | $1.2k |
| 08-10 06:54 | Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election? | BUY | 0.49 | $68.60 |
| 08-07 07:27 | Will Robert Alferink win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | BUY | 0.67 | $42.54 |
| 08-06 07:37 | Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.37 | $85.71 |
| 08-06 07:22 | Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.60 |
| 08-04 07:25 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $148.68 |