0x7cb1A12C0F441a65A00f5045E312a67f9c62b128-1783173232478
0x7cb1a12c0f441a65a00f5045e312a67f9c62b128
- Realised P&L
- $78.02
- Volume
- $562.88
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $1.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.026 | $1.83 | −$14.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.05at 0.312Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$17.29at 0.198Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
- +$3.83at 0.025Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
- +$0.09at 0.460Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
- +$-0.24at 0.960Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 19:06 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.2974999704 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 19:05 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3024999811 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 19:05 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3024999691 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 19:05 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3024999691 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 22:38 | Will Norway vs. England end in a draw? | SELL | 0.48 | $5.36 |
| 07-11 22:29 | Will Norway vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.4474999649 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 22:17 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | SELL | 0.4325 | $22.76 |
| 07-11 21:48 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 21:38 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | SELL | 0.3975 | $15.66 |
| 07-11 21:07 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2349999825 | $9.26 |
| 07-11 21:06 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | SELL | 0.93 | $7.44 |
| 07-09 18:02 | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | SELL | 0.0661011772 | $6.23 |
| 07-04 15:01 | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | BUY | 0.026 | $1.41 |
| 07-04 14:59 | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | BUY | 0.025 | $0.73 |
| 07-04 14:59 | Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | BUY | 0.024 | $0.27 |