PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7cb1A12C0F441a65A00f5045E312a67f9c62b128-1783173232478

0x7cb1a12c0f441a65a00f5045e312a67f9c62b128

Realised P&L
$78.02
Volume
$562.88
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$1.83

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar13.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration72.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027? · Yes0.2300.026$1.83−$14.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 19:06Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.2974999704$5.00
07-15 19:05Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3024999811$10.00
07-15 19:05Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3024999691$5.00
07-15 19:05Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3024999691$5.00
07-11 22:38Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?SELL0.48$5.36
07-11 22:29Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.4474999649$5.00
07-11 22:17Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?SELL0.4325$22.76
07-11 21:48Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.189999988$10.00
07-11 21:38Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?SELL0.3975$15.66
07-11 21:07Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2349999825$9.26
07-11 21:06Iran full airspace closure by July 15?SELL0.93$7.44
07-09 18:02Israel closes its airspace by July 15?SELL0.0661011772$6.23
07-04 15:01Israel closes its airspace by July 15?BUY0.026$1.41
07-04 14:59Israel closes its airspace by July 15?BUY0.025$0.73
07-04 14:59Israel closes its airspace by July 15?BUY0.024$0.27