0x7caab8fa6a404419d0c133c23f23f562f5e7f018
0x7caab8fa6a404419d0c133c23f23f562f5e7f018
- Realised P&L
- $-13.88
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $6.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 18? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.997 | $6.31 | +$1.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.23at 0.594Will France win on 2026-06-26?
- +$10.93at 0.322Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$9.89at 0.590Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
- +$8.89at 0.670Will France win on 2026-06-16?
- +$8.24at 0.649Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 22:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.790513834 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 19:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.7599999884 | $10.47 |
| 09-15 06:51 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.87 | $17.90 |
| 09-08 04:06 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5199999767 | $10.70 |
| 09-08 04:06 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.47 | $14.73 |
| 09-05 20:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.57 |
| 09-05 20:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $12.10 |
| 07-14 21:23 | Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.67 | $22.78 |
| 07-13 09:37 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 07-13 09:37 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.3625 | $4.96 |
| 07-13 09:36 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3649999573 | $5.00 |
| 07-12 06:01 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 23:26 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5174999902 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 00:31 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5674999507 | $4.00 |
| 07-08 21:14 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.6099999653 | $5.62 |