0x7Ca0DBB3132ce8a1F65b8A153C3c176A20F7212A-1775493159114
0x7ca0dbb3132ce8a1f65b8a153c3c176a20f7212a
- Realised P&L
- $-367.97
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 449
- Open portfolio
- $33.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded449
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.055 | $33.00 | −$3.00 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$96.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.79at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
- +$4.78at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
- +$3.88at 0.489Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
- +$3.79at 0.499Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
- +$3.59at 0.499Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 12:09 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15? | BUY | 0.06 | $36.00 |
| 10-02 12:09 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.049 | $36.53 |
| 09-16 12:17 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $96.21 |
| 09-14 08:10 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $238.54 |
| 09-03 19:44 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 05-02 10:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $1.30 |
| 05-02 07:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.6599998424 | $1.34 |
| 05-02 06:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5299998799 | $1.28 |
| 05-02 05:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3499998091 | $1.10 |
| 05-02 05:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BUY | 0.6099998819 | $1.24 |
| 05-02 05:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6799999409 | $1.38 |
| 05-02 04:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $1.32 |
| 05-02 03:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.7099998724 | $1.28 |
| 05-02 01:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $1.30 |
| 05-02 01:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | SELL | 0.98 | $4.90 |