Capitano88
0x7c9253c6551cd808932225ee8576040c53423cd0
- Realised P&L
- $-580.27
- Volume
- $82.0k
- Markets traded
- 244
- Open portfolio
- $0.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded244
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$338.30at 0.234Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 18?
- +$324.63at 0.315Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 14?
- +$308.67at 0.441Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 11?
- +$274.16at 0.175Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 24?
- +$267.22at 0.425Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 12:38 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.2533980562 | $27.00 |
| 10-17 12:56 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.23 | $50.00 |
| 10-17 11:29 | Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.5398640471 | $20.00 |
| 10-17 11:29 | Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.5242536246 | $50.00 |
| 10-16 17:08 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $50.00 |
| 10-13 12:38 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.4933885929 | $50.00 |
| 08-17 12:01 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 17? | BUY | 0.2514903052 | $19.00 |
| 08-17 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 17? | BUY | 0.3547945165 | $28.00 |
| 08-17 11:59 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 17? | BUY | 0.2028478919 | $39.00 |
| 08-11 12:59 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 11? | BUY | 0.6982644473 | $98.00 |
| 08-09 11:23 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.1920156396 | $45.00 |
| 07-06 11:59 | Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8? | BUY | 0.3799999696 | $4.00 |
| 07-06 11:57 | Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8? | BUY | 0.3699999959 | $46.00 |
| 07-05 11:21 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 5? | BUY | 0.4975960884 | $50.00 |
| 07-05 11:20 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 5? | BUY | 0.5057415422 | $50.00 |