magyar29
0x7c8d27d00951a06ff3b693595cb1dc176e9d1535
- Realised P&L
- $-897.90
- Volume
- $375.3k
- Markets traded
- 150
- Open portfolio
- $705.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded150
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$945.45at 0.126Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$396.57at 0.205Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$185.22at 0.747Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
- +$158.36at 0.184Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
- +$127.26at 0.978Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 03:21 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.07 | $301.00 |
| 07-28 11:37 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.13 | $830.21 |
| 07-21 23:15 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.15 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 23:36 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 23:36 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.1523809524 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 23:32 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.1523809524 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 23:29 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.95 |
| 07-19 23:28 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.14 | $34.67 |
| 07-19 23:28 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.45 |
| 07-19 23:23 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.95 |
| 07-19 23:22 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.15 | $35.40 |
| 07-19 23:22 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.15 | $19.20 |
| 07-19 23:21 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.15 | $77.10 |
| 07-19 23:18 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.04 |
| 07-19 23:18 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.14 | $51.66 |