PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

magyar29

0x7c8d27d00951a06ff3b693595cb1dc176e9d1535

Realised P&L
$-897.90
Volume
$375.3k
Markets traded
150
Open portfolio
$705.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded150
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · Yes0.1180.045$705.87−$1.1k
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes0.0960.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.3320.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$10.00
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway0.3500.000$0.00−$30.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.0950.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00−$30.00
Will England win on 2026-07-15? · Yes0.3620.000$0.00−$10.00
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00−$5.45
Will the final be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00−$53.00
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? · No0.0020.000$0.00−$299.88
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 03:21Will GameStop acquire eBay?BUY0.07$301.00
07-28 11:37Will GameStop acquire eBay?BUY0.13$830.21
07-21 23:15Will GameStop acquire eBay?BUY0.15$2.00
07-19 23:36Will GameStop acquire eBay?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
07-19 23:36Will GameStop acquire eBay?BUY0.1523809524$1.00
07-19 23:32Will GameStop acquire eBay?BUY0.1523809524$1.00
07-19 23:29Will GameStop acquire eBay?BUY0.15$1.95
07-19 23:28Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.14$34.67
07-19 23:28Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.15$3.45
07-19 23:23Will GameStop acquire eBay?BUY0.15$1.95
07-19 23:22Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.15$35.40
07-19 23:22Will GameStop acquire eBay?SELL0.15$19.20
07-19 23:21Will GameStop acquire eBay?BUY0.15$77.10
07-19 23:18Will GameStop acquire eBay?BUY0.14$1.04
07-19 23:18Will GameStop acquire eBay?BUY0.14$51.66