PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

retolo273

0x7c8cd661558862131a5e4c140ad9ec5f350e1bdc

Realised P&L
$694.92
Volume
$52.0k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$5.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? · No0.8460.969$2.6k+$331.95
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9520.981$1.7k+$48.55
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9070.965$813.30+$48.49
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8200.945$75.60+$10.00
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December? · Yes0.1670.270$54.00+$20.67
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December? · Yes0.1670.210$42.00+$8.67
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December? · Yes0.1670.200$40.00+$6.67
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December? · Yes0.1670.185$37.00+$3.67
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,000-$6,500 in December? · Yes0.1670.115$23.00$10.33
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December? · Yes0.3800.080$3.25$12.16
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4090.000$0.00$20.45
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? · No0.4400.000$0.00$44.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 13:04Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.409$20.45
06-20 13:29Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.44$44.00
05-08 14:53Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.907$764.81
05-06 14:05Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?SELL0.2606785582$141.03
05-05 13:14Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?SELL0.32$4.80
05-04 16:40Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?SELL0.34$5.81
05-04 01:13Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?BUY0.3868142721$12.14
05-04 01:13Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?SELL0.37$3.70
05-03 15:26Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?BUY0.3793685$379.37
05-03 15:26Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?BUY0.73692$147.38
05-03 15:24Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?SELL0.99$1.1k
03-18 19:04Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.82$65.60
02-09 23:55Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?BUY0.963$348.41
02-09 23:54Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?BUY0.963$123.12
02-09 14:27Will BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?BUY0.962$402.44