bolla-577
0x7c8b2af934eed0bad9b7437e927ef09c0ebca211
- Realised P&L
- $58.5k
- Volume
- $595.2k
- Markets traded
- 343
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded343
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.3kat 0.123Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?
- +$5.5kat 0.546Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?
- +$5.4kat 0.230Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
- +$5.1kat 0.976Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
- +$4.8kat 0.271Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 16:04 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1898188176 | $314.30 |
| 10-16 16:03 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $59.40 |
| 09-30 13:00 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.3002651839 | $24.57 |
| 09-27 04:39 | Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8884342291 | $125.62 |
| 09-27 02:44 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1724644756 | $201.72 |
| 09-26 15:58 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 09-26 15:57 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 09-26 15:57 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 09-26 15:57 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 09-26 15:36 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3124134705 | $3.34 |
| 09-26 15:29 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $6.45 |
| 09-26 15:29 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.40725 | $162.90 |
| 09-26 15:29 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3680912863 | $88.71 |
| 09-26 15:12 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1891132393 | $21.33 |
| 09-26 15:08 | Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.8601274238 | $62.10 |