0x7C83c93790De2aF2F3D1CDdA88b13A4DD840B270-1732275400820
0x7c83c93790de2af2f3d1cdda88b13a4dd840b270
- Realised P&L
- $320.02
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $60.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar24.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 11? · Yes | 0.101 | 0.088 | $43.70 | −$6.30 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 12? · Yes | 0.127 | 0.105 | $16.47 | −$3.53 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3AM ET · Down | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$326.09at 0.380Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 14:22 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.1250878007 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 14:11 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 13:40 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.1006810744 | $50.00 |
| 09-30 07:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 11-22 12:11 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k today? | BUY | 0.3799999991 | $199.86 |