PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pobota

0x7c7baa7d73e649f2d341a9517cd5c7cfaf5ef474

Realised P&L
$-3.5k
Volume
$10.43M
Markets traded
684
Open portfolio
$166.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded684
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October? · Yes0.2900.470$47.00+$18.00
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.155$46.50+$4.50
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.075$18.75−$1.25
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0400.042$12.45+$0.45
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October? · Yes0.3000.115$11.50−$18.50
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in October? · Yes0.2300.185$5.55−$1.35
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in October? · Yes0.0700.025$5.19−$9.65
Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.275$5.03+$0.09
Will Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.245$4.90+$0.10
Will Hull City AFC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.235$4.70−$0.10
Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.225$4.50−$0.10
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2500.028$0.84−$6.66
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-21? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$9.00
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-17? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$8.40
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · No0.7400.000$0.00−$37.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 11:56Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 21?BUY0.96$19.20
10-20 22:28Will Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?BUY0.26$5.20
10-20 22:28Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-21?BUY0.45$9.00
10-20 22:28Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-21?BUY0.82$16.40
10-20 22:27Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-21?BUY0.49$9.80
10-17 14:12Will Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?BUY0.13$2.60
10-17 14:11Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?BUY0.21$4.20
10-17 14:10Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?BUY0.25$5.00
10-17 14:10Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?BUY0.27$5.40
10-17 14:10Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?BUY0.28$5.60
10-17 14:10Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?BUY0.21$4.20
10-17 14:10Will Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?BUY0.26$5.20
10-17 14:10Will Brentford FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?BUY0.27$5.40
10-17 14:09Will Fulham FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?BUY0.23$4.60
10-17 14:08Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?SELL0.021$2.08