PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Abkha

0x7c75be8139d0e333e7c8c2e17b53575ef0804d1d

Realised P&L
$901.2k
Volume
$3.58M
Markets traded
4
Open portfolio
$4.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar25.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded4
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration83.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.4300.403$2.8k−$192.72
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0190.019$1.9k+$56.60
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.5690.598$73.61+$3.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 02:46Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0160362495$35.39
10-29 02:44Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.569$70.10
10-29 02:44Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.43$3.0k
10-26 00:50Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.9980523046$370.5k
10-26 00:48Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.9935469551$1.36M
10-25 23:51Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.9845675104$98.5k
10-25 23:08Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.869189762$43.5k
10-25 22:52Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.687608731$29.9k
10-25 22:36Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6963859121$29.2k
10-25 22:36Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.696295741$34.8k
10-25 22:25Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.882636245$17.7k
10-25 22:23Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.7720565561$13.7k
10-25 22:20Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6609150659$12.1k
10-25 22:07Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4971144947$49.7k
10-15 16:22Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2469108824$24.1k