Abkha
0x7c75be8139d0e333e7c8c2e17b53575ef0804d1d
- Realised P&L
- $901.2k
- Volume
- $3.58M
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $4.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar25.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.403 | $2.8k | −$192.72 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.019 | $1.9k | +$56.60 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.569 | 0.598 | $73.61 | +$3.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$751.4kat 0.443Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$149.8kat 0.594Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 02:46 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0160362495 | $35.39 |
| 10-29 02:44 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.569 | $70.10 |
| 10-29 02:44 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.43 | $3.0k |
| 10-26 00:50 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.9980523046 | $370.5k |
| 10-26 00:48 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.9935469551 | $1.36M |
| 10-25 23:51 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9845675104 | $98.5k |
| 10-25 23:08 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.869189762 | $43.5k |
| 10-25 22:52 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.687608731 | $29.9k |
| 10-25 22:36 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6963859121 | $29.2k |
| 10-25 22:36 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.696295741 | $34.8k |
| 10-25 22:25 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.882636245 | $17.7k |
| 10-25 22:23 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7720565561 | $13.7k |
| 10-25 22:20 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6609150659 | $12.1k |
| 10-25 22:07 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4971144947 | $49.7k |
| 10-15 16:22 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2469108824 | $24.1k |