0x7c6bf714c4619e25a1c57540ef064abe555bcf23
0x7c6bf714c4619e25a1c57540ef064abe555bcf23
- Realised P&L
- $-6.03
- Volume
- $206.62
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $4.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.440 | 0.585 | $2.66 | +$0.66 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? · Up | 0.600 | 0.600 | $2.00 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.26at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?
- +$2.49at 0.452Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$2.29at 0.472Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?
- +$1.86at 0.523Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?
- +$1.83at 0.462Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 03:57 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23? | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 07:57 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.439999956 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 10:34 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6499998789 | $1.61 |
| 09-19 02:33 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 15:47 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7499999063 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 05:17 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 05:03 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 18:22 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 20:52 | Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 12:28 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 23:46 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4399999296 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 14:02 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999725 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 04:23 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4899999534 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 03:25 | Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 03:07 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |