Imo7o
0x7c6ad2c1e9a6a86c663cb95cc328330576f20b8c
- Realised P&L
- $-24.9k
- Volume
- $1.91M
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $21.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · Yes | 0.460 | 1.000 | $11.0k | +$5.9k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.175 | $10.1k | −$19.9k |
| Trump calls Nicki Minaj hot again in 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.915 | $44.05 | +$7.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.7kat 0.641US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
- +$21.3kat 0.137Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$12.4kat 0.588Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$5.7kat 0.842US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
- +$4.3kat 0.714Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 17:44 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0300005613 | $572.99 |
| 08-26 14:08 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0594037232 | $24.99 |
| 08-15 13:03 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.007596923 | $83.16 |
| 08-09 07:19 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5874023694 | $3.6k |
| 08-06 19:05 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5778822402 | $10.0k |
| 08-06 16:15 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999998 | $831.00 |
| 08-05 04:49 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.5k |
| 08-04 16:33 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6877210986 | $5.0k |
| 08-04 13:26 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.61 | $5.0k |
| 08-04 13:25 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.2657060281 | $3.3k |
| 08-04 11:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.6 | $5.0k |
| 07-31 22:12 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.4603949736 | $5.0k |
| 07-31 15:28 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.8890248478 | $5.7k |
| 07-29 12:13 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.6926418981 | $3.3k |
| 07-29 12:12 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.8888855495 | $3.3k |