AkarshitGangwar
0x7c69f33cd3387cf10dbce62e8bc240a225ad5aeb
- Realised P&L
- $2.4k
- Volume
- $3.01M
- Markets traded
- 2,818
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,818
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18? · No | 0.961 | 0.987 | $1.7k | +$46.03 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 18? · No | 0.971 | 0.984 | $1.0k | +$12.78 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18? · No | 0.920 | 0.922 | $39.49 | +$0.09 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET · Down | 0.825 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.13 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 11AM ET · Up | 0.259 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$475.37 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET · Up | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.60 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on September 3? · Down | 0.091 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.95 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 29? · Up | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET · Up | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$173.94at 0.375Bitcoin Up or Down on September 24?
- +$168.18at 0.375Bitcoin Up or Down on September 25?
- +$150.62at 0.862Bitcoin Up or Down on August 25?
- +$141.98at 0.950Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
- +$118.73at 0.978Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 12-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 07:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 18? | BUY | 0.9729999984 | $2.42 |
| 10-17 15:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $299.70 |
| 10-17 15:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $633.35 |
| 10-17 15:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $416.23 |
| 10-17 15:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $38.40 |
| 10-17 05:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.77 | $38.50 |
| 10-16 19:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $198.89 |
| 10-16 17:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 16? | BUY | 0.966 | $966.00 |
| 10-16 17:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.996 | $2.05 |
| 10-16 17:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.991 | $9.91 |
| 10-16 15:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 16? | BUY | 0.9989990228 | $1.01 |
| 10-16 14:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 12-18? | SELL | 0.992 | $496.02 |
| 10-16 14:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 16? | BUY | 0.986 | $484.49 |
| 10-16 14:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 16? | BUY | 0.978 | $119.49 |
| 10-16 12:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.983 | $54.04 |