PolyBot

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Traders

arm1tag3

0x7c626b33dba23268c79bdbf4335ab67c7e10f73c

Realised P&L
$130.91
Volume
$11.6k
Markets traded
288
Open portfolio
$29.61

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded288
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title? · Yes0.1690.602$12.40+$8.92
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award? · Yes0.4230.875$8.76+$4.53
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win more than 87.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? · O 87.50.4050.805$8.05+$4.00
Will Olivia Miles win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award? · No0.0500.019$0.38$0.62
Will Nick Kurtz win the 2026 American League MVP Award? · Yes0.1790.002$0.02$2.37
Dota 2: BALU vs Habibis (BO3) - European Pro League Group B · Habibis0.3700.000$0.00$19.20
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 31, 1PM ET · Down0.5700.000$0.00$3.93
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.1300.000$0.00$1.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$2.61
T20 Blast: Derbyshire vs Leicestershire · Leicestershire0.2200.000$0.00$1.39
Athens Open, Qualification: Elena Micic vs Anastasia Kulikova · Anastasia Kulikova0.7500.000$0.00$4.56
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$1.01
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs RE.Arise - Game 1 Winner · RE.Arise0.8000.000$0.00$19.58
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5AM ET · Down0.0800.000$0.00$1.60
ITF Kayseri: Duru Soke vs Selina Atay · Selina Atay0.0600.000$0.00$1.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-13 03:45Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 11PM ETBUY0.16$1.00
08-12 23:24Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 7PM ETBUY0.3099999036$1.64
08-12 21:26Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 5PM ETBUY0.1499998812$1.01
08-12 14:10Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10AM ETBUY0.5099999101$2.61
08-11 12:23Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 8AM ETBUY0.3099998811$1.59
08-11 06:45Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 2AM ETBUY0.6599999833$8.70
08-11 04:27Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12AM ETBUY0.1499998812$1.01
08-10 19:46Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 3PM ETSELL0.979$7.26
08-10 19:46Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 3PM ETBUY0.99$7.35
08-10 17:46Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 1PM ETBUY0.2099998958$1.37
08-10 15:12Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 11AM ETBUY0.4399999218$2.25
08-03 23:54Solana Up or Down - August 3, 7PM ETBUY0.75$4.69
08-03 23:46Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 7PM ETBUY0.6799999894$7.67
08-03 12:26Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8AM ETBUY0.24$2.55
08-03 11:40Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 7AM ETBUY0.64$7.31