hide-on-bush-
0x7c5cc37a6b120ba2d6bea4d673e14f871eb2b475
- Realised P&L
- $-62.94
- Volume
- $606.43
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $45.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.02at 0.622Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 24?
- +$2.83at 0.642Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25?
- +$0.98at 0.837Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 23?
- +$0.79at 0.853Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 24?
- +$0.71at 0.876Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 16:44 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.4199999842 | $4.25 |
| 10-11 10:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.6599999509 | $4.30 |
| 10-11 01:27 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.56 | $4.34 |
| 10-10 20:35 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.6299999957 | $4.38 |
| 10-10 19:15 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.12 | $4.44 |
| 10-10 17:09 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.49 |
| 10-10 05:23 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.509999957 | $4.51 |
| 10-10 03:21 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.6599999913 | $4.57 |
| 10-09 23:41 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.6099999591 | $4.62 |
| 10-09 12:47 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.5299999898 | $4.66 |
| 10-09 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.5399999518 | $4.71 |
| 10-09 04:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.4699999803 | $4.76 |
| 10-09 04:47 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.6499999198 | $4.86 |
| 10-09 04:46 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.6699999862 | $4.86 |
| 07-23 19:54 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 24? | BUY | 0.8459999836 | $4.54 |