nishekgraini
0x7c5b2f10bf3830c239e0defc96621d7c83e226e2
- Realised P&L
- $8.8k
- Volume
- $2.62M
- Markets traded
- 192
- Open portfolio
- $850.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded192
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.085 | $850.00 | −$3.84 |
| Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs · Nigma Galaxy | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$85.24 |
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner · Team Yandex | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$255.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.5kat 0.178Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals
- +$5.1kat 0.070Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
- +$5.0kat 0.358Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner
- +$4.7kat 0.174Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
- +$4.0kat 0.602Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 08:08 | Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.011 | $39.57 |
| 08-22 08:07 | Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.011 | $21.34 |
| 08-21 18:15 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs | SELL | 0.5 | $355.14 |
| 08-21 17:44 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.3699999993 | $262.81 |
| 08-21 16:22 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.6 | $163.33 |
| 08-21 11:57 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.32 | $40.78 |
| 08-21 09:30 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs | SELL | 0.61 | $381.12 |
| 08-21 09:05 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.52 | $324.89 |
| 08-20 16:46 | Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.4799999993 | $239.23 |
| 08-20 12:18 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.04 | $200.00 |
| 08-16 10:18 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Round | BUY | 0.39 | $390.00 |
| 08-16 09:55 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.13 | $131.15 |
| 08-16 09:28 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.42 | $420.00 |
| 08-16 09:24 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $1.0k |
| 08-16 08:32 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.29 | $8.59 |