hyper129phantom
0x7c4fd436871165693d5b61b6bb87c64a0149bcc2
- Realised P&L
- $-10.31
- Volume
- $88.09
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $2.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.480 | $2.40 | −$0.25 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.85 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? · No | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.95 |
| Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? · No | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.60 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.40 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.515 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.58 |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.20 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? · No | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.75 |
| Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.55at 0.370Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$2.30at 0.540US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.85at 0.400Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.04at 0.971Will SD Almeria achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 02:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 09-18 02:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 08-17 09:10 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 08-12 09:10 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 08-05 05:27 | Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.5799999578 | $2.20 |
| 07-23 08:50 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 06-16 08:26 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899998115 | $1.20 |
| 06-11 07:25 | Will SD Almeria achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season? | BUY | 0.9699999871 | $1.50 |
| 06-04 03:20 | Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4399998491 | $1.40 |
| 05-28 08:09 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.037392086 | $1.40 |
| 05-14 09:13 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.515 | $2.58 |
| 04-17 02:50 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699998495 | $1.50 |
| 04-02 07:21 | US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |