PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hyper129phantom

0x7c4fd436871165693d5b61b6bb87c64a0149bcc2

Realised P&L
$-10.31
Volume
$88.09
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$2.40

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-11.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? · Yes0.5300.480$2.40−$0.25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$1.85
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? · No0.3900.000$0.00−$1.95
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? · No0.5200.000$0.00−$2.60
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$1.40
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? · Yes0.5150.000$0.00−$2.58
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$2.20
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? · No0.5500.000$0.00−$2.75
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.4400.000$0.00−$1.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 02:26Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?BUY0.53$2.65
09-18 02:01Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?BUY0.55$2.75
08-17 09:10Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?BUY0.37$1.85
08-12 09:10Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?BUY0.52$2.60
08-05 05:27Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.5799999578$2.20
07-23 08:50US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.54$2.70
06-16 08:26Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?BUY0.3899998115$1.20
06-11 07:25Will SD Almeria achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?BUY0.9699999871$1.50
06-04 03:20Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4399998491$1.40
05-28 08:09Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?BUY0.037392086$1.40
05-14 09:13Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?BUY0.515$2.58
04-17 02:50Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.3699998495$1.50
04-02 07:21US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?BUY0.39$1.95