PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

moneymachine4

0x7c4a7f00e9d6b375cdaf7cdc6831b00e338fdb2b

Realised P&L
$885.77
Volume
$30.7k
Markets traded
438
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded438
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? · No0.8300.851$173.60+$4.28
Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 10? · Yes0.9160.940$129.72+$3.28
Will “Eyes Closed” by Jisoo and Zayn win Best Visual Effects at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · No0.7600.755$94.38−$0.63
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04? · No0.2140.550$91.30+$55.74
Will Taylor Swift win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · Yes0.4250.390$88.14−$7.93
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-05 House seat? · No0.6770.685$76.21+$0.92
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · No0.3200.265$56.22−$11.62
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes0.2810.265$55.38−$3.34
Will Marvin Harrison Jr. have 7.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.5400.869$52.11+$19.71
Will China win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · No0.8150.990$51.45+$9.07
Will EDward Gaming win VALORANT Champions 2026? · No0.9540.950$47.48−$0.22
Will Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament? · Yes0.2980.785$39.25+$24.35
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader? · Yes0.3300.265$31.00−$7.60
Will Ariana Grande win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · No0.7100.675$29.70−$1.54
Will Indiana be Ranked #1 during the 2026-27 CFB season? · No0.7200.820$27.06+$3.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 06:29Will Taylor Swift win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?BUY0.41$3.28
09-26 06:19Will Taylor Swift win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?BUY0.43$2.15
09-26 06:17Will Taylor Swift win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?BUY0.43$2.15
09-26 05:56Will Taylor Swift win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?BUY0.43$2.15
09-26 04:48Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 10?BUY0.91$18.20
09-26 04:48Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 10?BUY0.9$45.00
09-26 03:33Will the fight end before Round 2?BUY0.2$1.80
09-26 03:29Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 10?BUY0.93$20.46
09-26 03:08Will Alec Burleson lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?BUY0.62$3.10
09-26 03:02Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 10?BUY0.93$5.58
09-26 02:32Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 10?BUY0.93$37.20
09-26 02:18Will Barnsley FC win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.8273459946$6.64
09-26 02:07Will Alec Burleson lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?BUY0.62$5.58
09-25 22:12Will the fight end before Round 3?BUY0.35$1.75
09-25 22:02Will the fight end before Round 3?BUY0.35$2.10