moneymachine4
0x7c4a7f00e9d6b375cdaf7cdc6831b00e338fdb2b
- Realised P&L
- $885.77
- Volume
- $30.7k
- Markets traded
- 438
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded438
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$387.89at 0.010Will Naomi Osaka advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?
- +$157.28at 0.176China PR leading at halftime?
- +$93.99at 0.540Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
- +$93.10at 0.552Will the fight end before Round 2?
- +$78.10at 0.625Will Alianza FC vs. Deportivo Pereira end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 06:29 | Will Taylor Swift win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY | 0.41 | $3.28 |
| 09-26 06:19 | Will Taylor Swift win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 09-26 06:17 | Will Taylor Swift win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 09-26 05:56 | Will Taylor Swift win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 09-26 04:48 | Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 10? | BUY | 0.91 | $18.20 |
| 09-26 04:48 | Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 10? | BUY | 0.9 | $45.00 |
| 09-26 03:33 | Will the fight end before Round 2? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.80 |
| 09-26 03:29 | Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 10? | BUY | 0.93 | $20.46 |
| 09-26 03:08 | Will Alec Burleson lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 09-26 03:02 | Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 10? | BUY | 0.93 | $5.58 |
| 09-26 02:32 | Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 10? | BUY | 0.93 | $37.20 |
| 09-26 02:18 | Will Barnsley FC win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.8273459946 | $6.64 |
| 09-26 02:07 | Will Alec Burleson lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.62 | $5.58 |
| 09-25 22:12 | Will the fight end before Round 3? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 09-25 22:02 | Will the fight end before Round 3? | BUY | 0.35 | $2.10 |