PolyBot

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Traders

RomeoLeCraps

0x7c49aacaff3aa70e97ef78e51d966c8d791c221a

Realised P&L
$333.43
Volume
$14.2k
Markets traded
215
Open portfolio
$105.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded215
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration83.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration89.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9320.942$94.15+$0.95
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9601.000$10.00+$0.40
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.5900.075$1.27−$8.73
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? · No0.5500.000$0.00−$11.00
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5520.000$0.00−$11.04
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00−$1.35
World Cup Goals H2H: Haaland vs. Alvarez · Alvarez0.4000.000$0.00−$48.00
Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$2.20
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00−$2.88
Will Alfonso López Chau finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00−$0.97
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$1.05
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00−$5.62
Will Mario Vizcarra finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$5.00
Will César Acuña finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$1.25
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? · Yes0.1950.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 00:08Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.96$9.60
06-08 22:43Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.22$2.20
06-08 22:42Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.39$11.70
06-08 19:39World Cup Goals H2H: Haaland vs. AlvarezBUY0.4$48.00
06-08 01:59Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.4$4.00
05-25 14:54Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?BUY0.68$5.44
05-12 12:19Starmer out by May 15, 2026?BUY0.1950908119$5.00
04-09 00:04Will Keiko Fujimori finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.1061462815$3.45
04-06 19:43Will Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.1171667917$4.69
04-06 17:04Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.0915773672$2.38
04-06 17:03Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.091$4.64
04-04 22:50Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY0.92$184.00
04-04 14:46Will César Acuña finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.017$0.35
04-04 14:45Will César Acuña finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.0178641383$0.74
04-03 20:50Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.15$0.75