z181
0x7c462452ce01b1df54f0558a46e0ccf16527ddac
- Realised P&L
- $-16.2k
- Volume
- $72.1k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $8.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-22.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.451 | 0.190 | $3.6k | −$5.0k |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.394 | 0.154 | $2.5k | −$3.8k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.364 | 0.145 | $1.8k | −$2.7k |
| Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.596 | 0.163 | $1.0k | −$2.7k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$210.00at 0.895Will Trump visit China by May 15?
- +$98.00at 0.951Will Trump visit China by May 31?
- +$1.97at 0.660Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?
- +$-1.01at 0.410Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?
- +$-8.54at 0.100Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-16 15:55 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May? | SELL | 0.39 | $3.80 |
| 05-16 10:40 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $480 in May? | SELL | 0.0742372881 | $21.90 |
| 05-16 10:38 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May? | SELL | 0.41 | $30.75 |
| 05-16 08:40 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $85 in May? | SELL | 0.37 | $166.50 |